Ten
years ago this month the communist government of Russia fell.
Russia’s new leadership promised freedom and a
dynamic economy but Russia instead has suffered an economic
collapse possibly unparalleled in all of human history,
despite tens of billions of dollars in Western aid.
The grim Russian joke says it all: “What’s
free-market Russia’s greatest achievement?
It did in a decade what the Soviets couldn’t do in 70
years--it made communism look good.”
Since
1991 Russia has lost half of its Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
By contrast, during World War II, when the Soviet Union lost
25 million people and tens of thousands of square miles of its
territory were occupied by Nazi Germany, the Soviet economy
declined by only 30%.
Russia’s
GDP per capita is now comparable to that of Peru, Morocco and
Jordan, and ranks below that of Mexico, Colombia, Iran,
Turkey, and dozens of other nations. Russian GDP per capita has dropped from half that of the U.S.
in 1985 (the year before the free market reforms began) to a
mere 13% of it today.
Three-quarters
of the Russian population lives at the subsistence level.
Officially the unemployment rate is 12.4%, but even this
figure vastly understates unemployment because it does not
account for the millions of Russians who go to work every day
even though they have not been paid in months or even years.
Inflation, which ran at 2,500% in the early ‘90s, has wiped
out most of the population's life savings.
While
crime in Russia was never as low as Soviet propagandists
claimed, over the last decade Russia’s murder rate has
skyrocketed to 22 murders per 100,000 people, more than twice
the rate of the U.S. and many times that of most European
nations. Many Russian enterprises are now controlled by mafia
gangs, said to number 8,000, whose preferred method of free
market competition often consists of assassinating business
rivals. Russia
groans under the weight of widespread corruption, fraud, and
embezzlement, as over $150
billion of its assets have been looted and deposited abroad
over the past decade. And
though political and personal liberty have increased since
Soviet times, according to Amnesty International,
“Throughout the Russian Federation, torture and
ill-treatment in police custody, in prisons, and in the armed
forces continue. Prison
conditions are cruel, inhuman, and degrading” (Amnesty
Report 2001).
Life
expectancy in Russia has fallen to 3rd world levels, below
that of Mexico, Ecuador, Jordan, Thailand, and even the
Dominican Republic. Disease
is rampant, including killers unheard of in Soviet times, such
as tuberculosis and cholera. With an annual death rate 30%
higher than that of the late ‘80s, Russia is the only
non-African nation in the world that is depopulating.
While
Russia has enjoyed an economic uptick of late, largely due to
the sharp rise in international oil prices in late 1999, the
overall situation has been and remains grim. What happened?
For
one, most of the free-market privatizations of Soviet
enterprises were simply shameless
property seizures by Soviet-era managers and bureaucrats which
offered nothing, least of all capital, to the enterprises
seized. In
addition, Russian industries, inefficient and problematic even
under the protection of the Soviet planned economy, have been
completely unable to compete in the global economy.
Nor should we forget that converting any
country--particularly a large one--from one economic system to
another is always a difficult task, whether the conversion is
from socialism to capitalism or vice versa.
And most Russians, accustomed to centuries of
dictatorship and 70 years of a planned economy, were
completely unprepared for the changes a free market brings.
Above
all, however, is
the reality that the free-market system often doesn’t work
as well as Americans like to believe it does.
Yes, it has provided a good standard of living for many
(though by no means all) of those who live in the advanced
capitalist nations of North America, Western Europe and Asia.
Yes, it has produced countless technological marvels,
as well as societies capable of respecting personal and
political freedoms to a greater extent than ever before in
human history.